James BurbankLicense ID:SA681164000- +1(623) 398-9095 james@soldbyburbank.com
Goodyear and Surprise, AZ · Three properties, one seller
Recent buyers are closing below today's asking prices on all three homes.
29 comparable homes, kept in three separate sections. Each home gets its own active listings, the last six months of closings, and an older tax record that starts in February 2025.
Property 1 · Goodyear
9.4% asking above closings
2847 S 160th Ln
Estimated $388,000 to $412,000
$454,167 avg ask vs $415,000 avg sale
A same-size sale on the same street closed at $387,000 in Nov 2025.
3 active · 3 sold 6 mo · 6 older sold
Property 2 · Surprise
9.2% asking above closings
11820 N 147th Ln
Estimated $412,000 to $437,000
$423,832 avg ask vs $388,300 avg sale
0.3% above without one cash sale of a home needing work.
6 active · 3 sold 6 mo · 5 older sold
Property 3 · Goodyear
17.8% asking above closings
2072 S 160th Dr
Estimated $378,000 to $402,000
$453,600 avg ask vs $385,000 avg sale
Sold homes average 5.6% larger, so the true gap is likely a bit smaller per sq ft.
4 active · 3 sold 6 mo · 5 older sold
Portfolio summary
The three homes side by side
Each home has its own section below, with its own comps, chart and table. Nothing is mixed between sections. Some Goodyear comps appear in both Goodyear sections on purpose, so each one stands alone.
| Property | Active asking $/sq ft |
Sold 6 mo $/sq ft (net) |
Tax record $/sq ft (net) |
Avg asking vs avg closing price |
Estimated sale price |
Comps A / 6 mo / tax |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2847 S 160th LnGoodyear, AZ 85338 | $198.83 | $180.02 ($175.64) | $190.67 ($186.15) | $454,167 vs $415,000 +$39,167 (9.4%) |
$388,000 to $412,000 | 3 / 3 / 6 |
| 11820 N 147th LnSurprise, AZ 85379 | $197.50 | $182.22 ($178.56) | $186.64 ($182.59) | $423,832 vs $388,300 +$35,532 (9.2%) |
$412,000 to $437,000 | 6 / 3 / 5 |
| 2072 S 160th DrGoodyear, AZ 85338 | $201.25 | $161.91 ($159.21) | $189.00 ($184.45) | $453,600 vs $385,000 +$68,600 (17.8%) |
$378,000 to $402,000 | 4 / 3 / 5 |
Closings are below asking on all three
Average asking price sits above the average recent closing by 9.4% for 2847 S 160th Ln, 9.2% for 11820 N 147th Ln and 17.8% for 2072 S 160th Dr. In dollars that is $39,167, $35,532 and $68,600.
Two of those gaps need context
The Surprise gap rests on one cash sale of a home that needed work. Without it, asking is 0.3% above the other two sales on price. The 2072 S 160th Dr comparison is also affected by size: the sold homes are larger on average, which widens the per-sq-ft gap.
Seller help is common
20 of the 25 sold comps listed across the three sections include a seller concession (some comps appear in two sections). Net price is shown next to every sold price so the buyer's real cost is visible.
The tax record sits above recent sales
Tax-record averages are $190.67, $186.64 and $189.00 per sq ft, against recent-sale averages of $180.02, $182.22 and $161.91. The older tier is higher for all three, by $10.65, $4.41 and $27.09.
Property 1 of 3
2847 S 160th Ln
Goodyear, AZ 85338 · 3 active, 3 sold in 6 months, 6 older sold
Property 1 · value estimate
2847 S 160th Ln: estimated $388,000 to $412,000
Built from the sales that closed in this report, adjusted to this home's size and weighted toward the most recent. Assumes average condition without a recent full renovation.
Estimated sale price
$388,000 to $412,000
Most likely about $400,000, or $180.83 per sq ft
Net after typical seller help
$379,000 to $402,000
About $390,000 at the midpoint, after a typical 2.4% seller concession
The home
- Beds / baths
- 4 / 2.5
- Sq ft
- 2,212
- Lot
- 5,827 sq ft
- Built
- 2006
- Stories
- 2
- Pool
- No pool
- Subdivision
- Sarival Village
- Builder
- DR Horton
How the estimate is built
- Size. Each comp's net price (after seller concessions) is adjusted by $50 per sq ft to match 2,212 sq ft.
- Recency. Sales from the last six months count 3x, November 2025 to May 2026 count 2x, and earlier sales count 1x.
- Range. The midpoint averages the recent-only and recency-weighted results ($380,850 and $400,001 net), with a band of 3% either side. The sale price adds back the typical seller concession.
- Trend. Earlier sales (Mar 2025 to May 2026) average $410,683 after size adjustment. The last six months average $380,850, 7.3% lower. The estimate gives the most recent sales the most weight.
Sales behind the estimate
| Closed sale | Closed | Net price | Sq ft | Size adjustment | Adjusted price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1859 S 169th Ave | 8/31/2026 | $389,000 | 2,334 | -$6,100 | $382,900 | 3x |
| 15811 W Cocopah St | 7/24/2026 | $387,000 | 2,376 | -$8,200 | $378,800 | 3x |
| 15756 W Shiloh Ave | 5/6/2026 | $432,500 | 2,302 | -$4,500 | $428,000 | 2x |
| 16056 W Grant St | 2/13/2026 | $422,000 | 2,182 | +$1,500 | $423,500 | 2x |
| 16008 W Durango St | 12/22/2025 | $424,000 | 2,232 | -$1,000 | $423,000 | 2x |
| 2715 S 160th Ln | 11/12/2025 | $387,000 | 2,212 | +$0 | $387,000 | 2x |
| 16057 W Hilton Ave | 3/17/2025 | $392,914 | 2,232 | -$1,000 | $391,914 | 1x |
Homes with a private pool (15988 W Cocopah St, 16000 W Sherman St) are left out because this home has no pool. Updated finishes, a newer roof or systems, or a better lot would support the top of the range or above. Deferred maintenance would pull the value below it.
Property 1 · market read
What the comps say
Asking is above closing
Active listings average $198.83 per sq ft. Sales in the last 6 months averaged $180.02, or $175.64 after seller concessions. That puts asking prices 10.4% above recent closings.
Same neighborhoods, lower closings
A 2,334 sq ft Canyon Trails home closed Aug 31, 2026 at $400,000 ($389,000 net). The matching listing on Hilton Ave asks $450,000, with a renovated kitchen and downstairs primary. In Sarival Village, a no-pool home sold for $429,000 in December 2025, and the active pool home there asks $428,000 with a leased solar system.
Concessions are routine
8 of 9 sold comps included a seller concession, from $5,000 to $20,085 (1.2% to 4.9% of price). Net price is the cleaner measure of what a home is worth.
Price cuts are the norm
All 3 active listings have already been reduced, by 3.0% to 6.25%. Sold comps closed at 96.6% to 100% of their original list price.
Property 1 · price per square foot
Every comp on one scale
Filled dots are the sold or asking price. Hollow rings are the net after seller concessions. The diamond in each group header is that group's average.
Active listings
These are the homes competing for buyers today. They show what sellers are asking, not what buyers have paid.
Three listings, and all three have been reduced. The $210 ask on Lilac St has not found a buyer in 518 days.
3 comps · $454,167 avg price · $198.83 avg $/sq ft
2775 S 161st Dr
Sarival Village Parcel 7 · MLS 7077882
- Beds / baths
- 4 / 2.5
- Sq ft
- 2,212
- Asking $/sq ft
- $193.49
- Days listed
- 59
- Built
- 2006
- Lot
- 7,549 sq ft
- Pool
- Private pool
- HOA
- $77/mo
The only active comp with a private pool. The solar system is leased, so a buyer takes on a monthly payment. Cul-de-sac lot.
16999 W Hilton Ave
Canyon Trails · MLS 7094169
- Beds / baths
- 5 / 3.5
- Sq ft
- 2,334
- Asking $/sq ft
- $192.80
- Days listed
- 23
- Built
- 2012
- Lot
- 7,377 sq ft
- Pool
- No pool
- HOA
- $125/mo
Newest of the Goodyear listings (2012), with a renovated kitchen, downstairs primary suite, bonus room and RV gate. Cut $30,000 in 23 days.
16450 W Lilac St
Curtis Commons · MLS 6913926
- Beds / baths
- 4 / 2.5
- Sq ft
- 2,305
- Asking $/sq ft
- $210.20
- Days listed
- 518
- Built
- 2010
- Lot
- 8,400 sq ft
- Pool
- No pool
- HOA
- $104/mo
Highest ask in the Goodyear sets, on the market 518 cumulative days with only a 3.0% reduction. A ceiling the market has not accepted, not a sold price.
Sold in the last 6 months
The most current evidence of what buyers are paying. Each sale is shown at the sold price and net of seller concessions.
Closings from $166.25 to $202.43 per sq ft. The pool home sits at the top of the range and the 2000-built home at the bottom.
3 comps · $415,000 avg price · $180.02 avg $/sq ft · $175.64 avg net
1859 S 169th Ave
Canyon Trails Unit 4 · MLS 7058131
- Beds / baths
- 4 / 2.5
- Sq ft
- 2,334
- Sold $/sq ft
- $171.38
- Net $/sq ft
- $166.67
- Built
- 2013
- Lot
- 6,900 sq ft
- Pool
- No pool
- HOA
- $125/mo
Same builder, subdivision and 2,334 sq ft as the active Hilton Ave listing. Sold at full list price with $11,000 in seller help on an FHA loan.
15811 W Cocopah St
Estrella Vista · MLS 7030262
- Beds / baths
- 4 / 2.5
- Sq ft
- 2,376
- Sold $/sq ft
- $166.25
- Net $/sq ft
- $162.88
- Built
- 2000
- Lot
- 8,287 sq ft
- Pool
- Community pool only
- HOA
- $69/mo
Oldest home in the recent Goodyear set (2000), with a 3-car garage and corner lot. New paint and carpet.
15988 W Cocopah St
Pueblo Verde (Glenmont Estates) · MLS 6973619
- Beds / baths
- 4 / 2.5
- Sq ft
- 2,223
- Sold $/sq ft
- $202.43
- Net $/sq ft
- $197.37
- Built
- 2007
- Lot
- 7,683 sq ft
- Pool
- Private pool
- HOA
- $90/mo
The only single-story home with a private pool, on a corner lot with 2022 HVAC and pool updates. Best comp for pool properties.
Tax record (Feb 2025 forward)
Older closings, kept in their own set so the tax file stays separate from the current market story.
6 closings from $174.95 to $201.65 per sq ft, averaging $190.67 and $186.15 after concessions.
6 comps · $427,333 avg price · $190.67 avg $/sq ft · $186.15 avg net
15756 W Shiloh Ave
Estrella Vista Parcel Four · MLS 6991281
- Beds / baths
- 4 / 2.5
- Sq ft
- 2,302
- Sold $/sq ft
- $191.14
- Net $/sq ft
- $187.88
- Built
- 1988
- Lot
- 7,480 sq ft
- Pool
- No pool
- HOA
- None
Oldest home in the Goodyear sets (1988), no HOA, with an RV gate and workshop. Closed May 6, 2026, one day before the 6-month window opens.
16056 W Grant St
Wildflower Ranch Unit 2 · MLS 6953219
- Beds / baths
- 4 / 2.5
- Sq ft
- 2,182
- Sold $/sq ft
- $201.65
- Net $/sq ft
- $193.40
- Built
- 1998
- Lot
- 7,700 sq ft
- Pool
- No pool
- HOA
- $19/mo
Fully remodeled in 2025 with a ground-floor primary. Closed $5,000 above its last list price, but with an $18,000 concession, so the net is below list.
16008 W Durango St
Sarival Village Parcel 2 · MLS 6926196
- Beds / baths
- 4 / 2.5
- Sq ft
- 2,232
- Sold $/sq ft
- $192.20
- Net $/sq ft
- $189.96
- Built
- 2004
- Lot
- 5,900 sq ft
- Pool
- No pool
- HOA
- $72/mo
Same Sarival Village area as the active Parcel 7 comp. Fresh paint and flooring, no pool. Sold December 2025.
2715 S 160th Ln
Sarival Village Parcel 7 · MLS 6908198
- Beds / baths
- 4 / 2
- Sq ft
- 2,212
- Sold $/sq ft
- $174.95
- Net $/sq ft
- $174.95
- Built
- 2006
- Lot
- 5,560 sq ft
- Pool
- No pool
- HOA
- $72/mo
Same street as 2847 S 160th Ln, with the same size (2,212 sq ft) and build year (2006). Listed at $399,000, cut to $385,000, then sold $2,000 above the final list price with no concessions.
16057 W Hilton Ave
Sarival Village Parcel 2 · MLS 6741590
- Beds / baths
- 4 / 2.5
- Sq ft
- 2,232
- Sold $/sq ft
- $185.04
- Net $/sq ft
- $176.04
- Built
- 2005
- Lot
- 5,750 sq ft
- Pool
- No pool
- HOA
- $69/mo
Sat 189 days before closing in March 2025, with the largest concession of the Goodyear sets (4.9%) and a leased solar system. It carries less weight than the other sales in this tier.
16000 W Sherman St
Wildflower Ranch Unit 2 · MLS 6807501
- Beds / baths
- 4 / 2.5
- Sq ft
- 2,286
- Sold $/sq ft
- $199.04
- Net $/sq ft
- $194.66
- Built
- 1997
- Lot
- 8,607 sq ft
- Pool
- Private pool
- HOA
- $19/mo
Closest sale to February 2025, a fully remodeled pool home.
Property 1 · side by side
All 12 comps in one table
Bathrooms count each half bath as 0.5. The table scrolls sideways on a phone.
| Tier | Address | Price | Concession | Net price | Sq ft | $/sq ft | Net $/sq ft | Bd / ba | Built | Lot | Pool | HOA | Closed / listed | Days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 2775 S 161st Dr | $428,000 | n/a | n/a | 2,212 | $193.49 | n/a | 4 / 2.5 | 2006 | 7,549 | Private pool | $77/mo | 9/9/2026 | 59 |
| Active | 16999 W Hilton Ave | $450,000 | n/a | n/a | 2,334 | $192.80 | n/a | 5 / 3.5 | 2012 | 7,377 | No pool | $125/mo | 10/15/2026 | 23 |
| Active | 16450 W Lilac St | $484,500 | n/a | n/a | 2,305 | $210.20 | n/a | 4 / 2.5 | 2010 | 8,400 | No pool | $104/mo | 9/2/2025 | 518 |
| Sold 6 mo | 1859 S 169th Ave | $400,000 | $11,000 | $389,000 | 2,334 | $171.38 | $166.67 | 4 / 2.5 | 2013 | 6,900 | No pool | $125/mo | 8/31/2026 | 31 |
| Sold 6 mo | 15811 W Cocopah St | $395,000 | $8,000 | $387,000 | 2,376 | $166.25 | $162.88 | 4 / 2.5 | 2000 | 8,287 | Community pool only | $69/mo | 7/24/2026 | 17 |
| Sold 6 mo | 15988 W Cocopah St | $450,000 | $11,250 | $438,750 | 2,223 | $202.43 | $197.37 | 4 / 2.5 | 2007 | 7,683 | Private pool | $90/mo | 6/3/2026 | 72 |
| Tax record | 15756 W Shiloh Ave | $440,000 | $7,500 | $432,500 | 2,302 | $191.14 | $187.88 | 4 / 2.5 | 1988 | 7,480 | No pool | None | 5/6/2026 | 68 |
| Tax record | 16056 W Grant St | $440,000 | $18,000 | $422,000 | 2,182 | $201.65 | $193.40 | 4 / 2.5 | 1998 | 7,700 | No pool | $19/mo | 2/13/2026 | 66 |
| Tax record | 16008 W Durango St | $429,000 | $5,000 | $424,000 | 2,232 | $192.20 | $189.96 | 4 / 2.5 | 2004 | 5,900 | No pool | $72/mo | 12/22/2025 | 85 |
| Tax record | 2715 S 160th Ln | $387,000 | None | $387,000 | 2,212 | $174.95 | $174.95 | 4 / 2 | 2006 | 5,560 | No pool | $72/mo | 11/12/2025 | 65 |
| Tax record | 16057 W Hilton Ave | $412,999 | $20,085 | $392,914 | 2,232 | $185.04 | $176.04 | 4 / 2.5 | 2005 | 5,750 | No pool | $69/mo | 3/17/2025 | 189 |
| Tax record | 16000 W Sherman St | $455,000 | $10,000 | $445,000 | 2,286 | $199.04 | $194.66 | 4 / 2.5 | 1997 | 8,607 | Private pool | $19/mo | 2/25/2025 | 39 |
Read with care
- 16057 W Hilton Ave sat 189 days and carries the largest concession (4.9%) plus a leased solar system. It carries less weight than the other tax-record sales.
- Active listings are asking prices. They show what sellers want, not what buyers have paid.
Property 2 of 3
11820 N 147th Ln
Surprise, AZ 85379 · 6 active, 3 sold in 6 months, 5 older sold
Property 2 · value estimate
11820 N 147th Ln: estimated $412,000 to $437,000
Built from the sales that closed in this report, adjusted to this home's size and weighted toward the most recent. Assumes average condition without a recent full renovation.
Estimated sale price
$412,000 to $437,000
Most likely about $425,000, or $195.76 per sq ft
Net after typical seller help
$403,000 to $427,000
About $415,000 at the midpoint, after a typical 2.3% seller concession
The home
- Beds / baths
- 4 / 2.5
- Sq ft
- 2,171
- Lot
- 4,305 sq ft
- Built
- 2005
- Stories
- 2
- Pool
- No pool
- Subdivision
- Rancho Gabriela Phase 2
- Builder
- Not listed
How the estimate is built
- Size. Each comp's net price (after seller concessions) is adjusted by $50 per sq ft to match 2,171 sq ft.
- Recency. Sales from the last six months count 3x, November 2025 to May 2026 count 2x, and earlier sales count 1x.
- Range. The midpoint averages the recent-only and recency-weighted results ($413,864 and $416,047 net), with a band of 3% either side. The sale price adds back the typical seller concession.
- Trend. Earlier sales (Jul 2025 to Apr 2026) average $417,856 after size adjustment. The last six months average $413,864, 1.0% lower. The estimate gives the most recent sales the most weight.
Sales behind the estimate
| Closed sale | Closed | Net price | Sq ft | Size adjustment | Adjusted price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15153 W Riviera Dr | 9/25/2026 | $397,700 | 2,118 | +$2,650 | $400,350 | 3x |
| 14757 W Surrey Dr | 6/2/2026 | $424,028 | 2,104 | +$3,350 | $427,378 | 3x |
| 14242 W Pershing St | 4/9/2026 | $418,625 | 2,339 | -$8,400 | $410,225 | 2x |
| 14096 W Larkspur Dr | 4/7/2026 | $433,875 | 2,330 | -$7,950 | $425,925 | 2x |
| 12546 N 142nd Ln | 10/29/2025 | $428,778 | 2,330 | -$7,950 | $420,828 | 1x |
| 14200 W Larkspur Dr | 10/24/2025 | $436,499 | 2,330 | -$7,950 | $428,549 | 1x |
| 15469 W Dreyfus St | 7/22/2025 | $412,000 | 2,336 | -$8,250 | $403,750 | 1x |
15406 W Dahlia Dr sold for cash as a home needing work, so it reflects condition rather than the market and is left out; it shows the downside if a home is in that state. Updated finishes, a newer roof or systems, or a better lot would support the top of the range or above. Deferred maintenance would pull the value below it.
Property 2 · market read
What the comps say
The gap depends on one sale
Active listings average $197.50 per sq ft. Sales in the last 6 months averaged $182.22 ($178.56 net), which puts asking 8.4% above. That average includes a cash sale of a home that needed work at $146.39. Without it, the other two sales average $200.14 ($194.65 net), and asking is 1.3% below on price per sq ft.
Veramonte sales cluster tightly
Three sales of the same 2,330 sq ft plan in Veramonte closed from $445,000 to $449,999 ($428,778 to $436,499 net) between Oct 2025 and Apr 2026. That is the steadiest price evidence in this report.
The active range is stretched at both ends
Asking runs from $171.38 to $225.35 per sq ft. The floor is a short sale with a fallthrough and the ceiling is a builder's new construction. Without those two, the other four average $197.07.
Cuts, fallthroughs and concessions
All 6 active listings have been reduced, by 3.0% to 11.8% (average 7.8%), and two have already fallen out of contract. 6 of 8 sold comps included a seller concession, from $6,375 to $16,222 (1.5% to 3.6% of price). Net price is the cleaner measure of what a home is worth.
Property 2 · price per square foot
Every comp on one scale
Filled dots are the sold or asking price. Hollow rings are the net after seller concessions. The diamond in each group header is that group's average.
Active listings
These are the homes competing for buyers today. They show what sellers are asking, not what buyers have paid.
Six listings from $399,500 to $484,492, all in or near Marley Park. Two are special cases: a short sale and a new build.
6 comps · $423,832 avg price · $197.50 avg $/sq ft
12785 N 151st Dr
Marley Park Parcel 5 · MLS 7090193
- Beds / baths
- 4 / 2.5
- Sq ft
- 1,988
- Asking $/sq ft
- $200.96
- Days listed
- 32
- Built
- 2006
- Lot
- 7,107 sq ft
- Pool
- Community pool only
- HOA
- $163/mo
Lowest asking price in the set, in Marley Park Parcel 5. Listed 32 days.
15439 W Dreyfus St
Marley Park · MLS 7079514
- Beds / baths
- 4 / 2.5
- Sq ft
- 2,334
- Asking $/sq ft
- $171.38
- Days listed
- 53
- Built
- 2006
- Lot
- 4,457 sq ft
- Pool
- Community pool only
- HOA
- $163/mo
Short sale with a fallthrough on 10/13/2026, so treat it as a distressed floor. Reduced 11.1% from $450,000. Has a private spa.
13644 N 152nd Dr
Marley Park · MLS 7074648
- Beds / baths
- 4 / 2.5
- Sq ft
- 2,182
- Asking $/sq ft
- $187.90
- Days listed
- 60
- Built
- 2006
- Lot
- 3,850 sq ft
- Pool
- Community pool only
- HOA
- $163/mo
Fell out of contract on 10/6/2026. Reduced 11.8% from $465,000. Some fixtures do not convey.
15163 W Andora St
Marley Park Parcel 3 · MLS 7036629
- Beds / baths
- 4 / 2.5
- Sq ft
- 2,288
- Asking $/sq ft
- $183.13
- Days listed
- 157
- Built
- 2005
- Lot
- 4,594 sq ft
- Pool
- Community pool only
- HOA
- $301/mo
Attached townhome with $301/mo in combined HOA dues, so a looser match to a detached home. Longest listed of the set at 157 days, reduced 11.8% from $475,000.
15363 W Pershing St
Marley Park Parcel 1 · MLS 7072830
- Beds / baths
- 4 / 2.5
- Sq ft
- 1,988
- Asking $/sq ft
- $216.30
- Days listed
- 71
- Built
- 2005
- Lot
- 8,223 sq ft
- Pool
- Private pool
- HOA
- $163/mo
The only active comp with a private pool, on the largest lot (8,223 sq ft). Square footage is owner-reported, so the $/sq ft is less reliable.
14659 W Surrey Dr
Homestead at Marley Park · MLS 7059231
- Beds / baths
- 4 / 2.5
- Sq ft
- 2,150
- Asking $/sq ft
- $225.35
- Days listed
- 103
- Built
- 2025
- Lot
- 3,600 sq ft
- Pool
- Community pool only
- HOA
- $131/mo
2025 new construction priced by the builder, the ceiling of the range. A different class from resale homes.
Sold in the last 6 months
The most current evidence of what buyers are paying. Each sale is shown at the sold price and net of seller concessions.
Three sales from $146.39 to $206.70 per sq ft. The low end is a cash sale of a home that needed work.
3 comps · $388,300 avg price · $182.22 avg $/sq ft · $178.56 avg net
15153 W Riviera Dr
Rancho Gabriela Phase 3 · MLS 7054438
- Beds / baths
- 4 / 2.5
- Sq ft
- 2,118
- Sold $/sq ft
- $193.58
- Net $/sq ft
- $187.77
- Built
- 2003
- Lot
- 6,095 sq ft
- Pool
- No pool
- HOA
- $53/mo
Remodeled, with owned solar. In Rancho Gabriela rather than Marley Park, so lower HOA and no community pool. A 3% seller concession.
15406 W Dahlia Dr
Marley Park Parcel 6 · MLS 7057573
- Beds / baths
- 4 / 2.5
- Sq ft
- 2,186
- Sold $/sq ft
- $146.39
- Net $/sq ft
- $146.39
- Built
- 2006
- Lot
- 4,395 sq ft
- Pool
- Community pool only
- HOA
- $163/mo
A cash sale in 6 days at about 97% of list, and the home needed work. Lowest $/sq ft of the set, so it marks the low end for an unrenovated Marley Park home.
14757 W Surrey Dr
Marley Park Parcel 12 · MLS 6965459
- Beds / baths
- 4 / 2.5
- Sq ft
- 2,104
- Sold $/sq ft
- $206.70
- Net $/sq ft
- $201.53
- Built
- 2013
- Lot
- 5,400 sq ft
- Pool
- Community pool only
- HOA
- $163/mo
Same street as the active new build at 14659 W Surrey Dr. Sat about 3.5 months and was reduced $15,100 (3.4%) before selling.
Tax record (Feb 2025 forward)
Older closings, kept in their own set so the tax file stays separate from the current market story.
Five closings from $176.37 to $193.13 per sq ft, averaging $186.64 and $182.59 after concessions.
5 comps · $435,400 avg price · $186.64 avg $/sq ft · $182.59 avg net
14242 W Pershing St
Homestead at Marley Park Parcel 8 · MLS 6985051
- Beds / baths
- 4 / 2.5
- Sq ft
- 2,339
- Sold $/sq ft
- $181.70
- Net $/sq ft
- $178.98
- Built
- 2019
- Lot
- 5,247 sq ft
- Pool
- Community pool only
- HOA
- $121/mo
Same Homestead at Marley Park community as the active new build at 14659 W Surrey Dr. Under contract in 16 days. Builder-reported square footage.
14096 W Larkspur Dr
Veramonte Parcels 3 & 4 · MLS 6975463
- Beds / baths
- 5 / 3
- Sq ft
- 2,330
- Sold $/sq ft
- $190.99
- Net $/sq ft
- $186.21
- Built
- 2006
- Lot
- 6,095 sq ft
- Pool
- No pool
- HOA
- $104/mo
Same 2,330 sq ft plan and subdivision as 14200 W Larkspur Dr. Closed April 2026, the most recent of this set, a price marker for Veramonte.
12546 N 142nd Ln
Veramonte Parcels 3 & 4 · MLS 6896908
- Beds / baths
- 4 / 3
- Sq ft
- 2,330
- Sold $/sq ft
- $190.99
- Net $/sq ft
- $184.03
- Built
- 2006
- Lot
- 6,212 sq ft
- Pool
- No pool
- HOA
- $99/mo
Sold $10,100 above its final list price, but with a $16,222 concession on an FHA loan, so the net is below list. Leased solar.
14200 W Larkspur Dr
Veramonte Parcels 3 & 4 · MLS 6859604
- Beds / baths
- 4 / 2.5
- Sq ft
- 2,330
- Sold $/sq ft
- $193.13
- Net $/sq ft
- $187.34
- Built
- 2006
- Lot
- 5,986 sq ft
- Pool
- No pool
- HOA
- $82/mo
A 'highly motivated seller' listing. Cut $40,001 (8.2%) from the original price, then a 3% concession. Same 2,330 sq ft plan as two other Veramonte sales.
15469 W Dreyfus St
Marley Park Parcel 1 · MLS 6872062
- Beds / baths
- 4 / 2.5
- Sq ft
- 2,336
- Sold $/sq ft
- $176.37
- Net $/sq ft
- $176.37
- Built
- 2006
- Lot
- 3,850 sq ft
- Pool
- Community pool only
- HOA
- $143/mo
The lowest-priced sale in this set, with no concessions and a heated community pool.
Property 2 · side by side
All 14 comps in one table
Bathrooms count each half bath as 0.5. The table scrolls sideways on a phone.
| Tier | Address | Price | Concession | Net price | Sq ft | $/sq ft | Net $/sq ft | Bd / ba | Built | Lot | Pool | HOA | Closed / listed | Days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 12785 N 151st Dr | $399,500 | n/a | n/a | 1,988 | $200.96 | n/a | 4 / 2.5 | 2006 | 7,107 | Community pool only | $163/mo | 10/6/2026 | 32 |
| Active | 15439 W Dreyfus St | $400,000 | n/a | n/a | 2,334 | $171.38 | n/a | 4 / 2.5 | 2006 | 4,457 | Community pool only | $163/mo | 9/12/2026 | 53 |
| Active | 13644 N 152nd Dr | $409,999 | n/a | n/a | 2,182 | $187.90 | n/a | 4 / 2.5 | 2006 | 3,850 | Community pool only | $163/mo | 9/2/2026 | 60 |
| Active | 15163 W Andora St | $419,000 | n/a | n/a | 2,288 | $183.13 | n/a | 4 / 2.5 | 2005 | 4,594 | Community pool only | $301/mo | 6/3/2026 | 157 |
| Active | 15363 W Pershing St | $430,000 | n/a | n/a | 1,988 | $216.30 | n/a | 4 / 2.5 | 2005 | 8,223 | Private pool | $163/mo | 8/28/2026 | 71 |
| Active | 14659 W Surrey Dr | $484,492 | n/a | n/a | 2,150 | $225.35 | n/a | 4 / 2.5 | 2025 | 3,600 | Community pool only | $131/mo | 7/27/2026 | 103 |
| Sold 6 mo | 15153 W Riviera Dr | $410,000 | $12,300* | $397,700 | 2,118 | $193.58 | $187.77 | 4 / 2.5 | 2003 | 6,095 | No pool | $53/mo | 9/25/2026 | 18 |
| Sold 6 mo | 15406 W Dahlia Dr | $320,000 | None | $320,000 | 2,186 | $146.39 | $146.39 | 4 / 2.5 | 2006 | 4,395 | Community pool only | $163/mo | 8/12/2026 | 6 |
| Sold 6 mo | 14757 W Surrey Dr | $434,900 | $10,872* | $424,028 | 2,104 | $206.70 | $201.53 | 4 / 2.5 | 2013 | 5,400 | Community pool only | $163/mo | 6/2/2026 | 92 |
| Tax record | 14242 W Pershing St | $425,000 | $6,375* | $418,625 | 2,339 | $181.70 | $178.98 | 4 / 2.5 | 2019 | 5,247 | Community pool only | $121/mo | 4/9/2026 | 92 |
| Tax record | 14096 W Larkspur Dr | $445,000 | $11,125* | $433,875 | 2,330 | $190.99 | $186.21 | 5 / 3 | 2006 | 6,095 | No pool | $104/mo | 4/7/2026 | 69 |
| Tax record | 12546 N 142nd Ln | $445,000 | $16,222 | $428,778 | 2,330 | $190.99 | $184.03 | 4 / 3 | 2006 | 6,212 | No pool | $99/mo | 10/29/2025 | 148 |
| Tax record | 14200 W Larkspur Dr | $449,999 | $13,500* | $436,499 | 2,330 | $193.13 | $187.34 | 4 / 2.5 | 2006 | 5,986 | No pool | $82/mo | 10/24/2025 | 131 |
| Tax record | 15469 W Dreyfus St | $412,000 | None | $412,000 | 2,336 | $176.37 | $176.37 | 4 / 2.5 | 2006 | 3,850 | Community pool only | $143/mo | 7/22/2025 | 130 |
* Concession dollars marked with an asterisk were calculated from the percentage shown in the MLS.
Read with care
- 15439 W Dreyfus St is a short sale with a fallthrough, so it is a distressed floor, not a clean value indicator.
- 13644 N 152nd Dr also fell out of contract (Oct 6, 2026).
- 15163 W Andora St is an attached townhome with $301/mo in combined HOA dues, a looser match to a detached home.
- 14659 W Surrey Dr is 2025 builder-priced new construction. A different class from resale homes.
- 15406 W Dahlia Dr was a cash sale of a home that needed work, so it marks the low end, not the middle.
Property 3 of 3
2072 S 160th Dr
Goodyear, AZ 85338 · 4 active, 3 sold in 6 months, 5 older sold
Property 3 · value estimate
2072 S 160th Dr: estimated $378,000 to $402,000
Built from the sales that closed in this report, adjusted to this home's size and weighted toward the most recent. Assumes average condition without a recent full renovation.
Estimated sale price
$378,000 to $402,000
Most likely about $390,000, or $174.73 per sq ft
Net after typical seller help
$370,000 to $393,000
About $382,000 at the midpoint, after a typical 2.1% seller concession
The home
- Beds / baths
- 4 / 2.5
- Sq ft
- 2,232
- Lot
- 6,077 sq ft
- Built
- 2004
- Stories
- 2
- Pool
- No pool
- Subdivision
- Sarival Village Parcel 2
- Builder
- DR Horton
How the estimate is built
- Size. Each comp's net price (after seller concessions) is adjusted by $50 per sq ft to match 2,232 sq ft.
- Recency. Sales from the last six months count 3x, November 2025 to May 2026 count 2x, and earlier sales count 1x.
- Range. The midpoint averages the recent-only and recency-weighted results ($371,250 and $392,509 net), with a band of 3% either side. The sale price adds back the typical seller concession.
- Trend. Earlier sales (Mar 2025 to May 2026) average $411,683 after size adjustment. The last six months average $371,250, 9.8% lower. The estimate gives the most recent sales the most weight.
Sales behind the estimate
| Closed sale | Closed | Net price | Sq ft | Size adjustment | Adjusted price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16718 W Yavapai St | 10/1/2026 | $360,000 | 2,431 | -$9,950 | $350,050 | 3x |
| 1859 S 169th Ave | 8/31/2026 | $389,000 | 2,334 | -$5,100 | $383,900 | 3x |
| 15811 W Cocopah St | 7/24/2026 | $387,000 | 2,376 | -$7,200 | $379,800 | 3x |
| 15756 W Shiloh Ave | 5/6/2026 | $432,500 | 2,302 | -$3,500 | $429,000 | 2x |
| 16056 W Grant St | 2/13/2026 | $422,000 | 2,182 | +$2,500 | $424,500 | 2x |
| 16008 W Durango St | 12/22/2025 | $424,000 | 2,232 | +$0 | $424,000 | 2x |
| 2715 S 160th Ln | 11/12/2025 | $387,000 | 2,212 | +$1,000 | $388,000 | 2x |
| 16057 W Hilton Ave | 3/17/2025 | $392,914 | 2,232 | +$0 | $392,914 | 1x |
Updated finishes, a newer roof or systems, or a better lot would support the top of the range or above. Deferred maintenance would pull the value below it.
Property 3 · market read
What the comps say
Every recent sale is below every listing
The highest closing ($400,000) is $39,900 below the cheapest active listing ($439,900). Asking averages $453,600, closings average $385,000, a 17.8% gap in price and 24.3% per sq ft.
The closest pair
A one-story home at 16718 W Yavapai St sold Oct 1, 2026 for $360,000 in Canyon Trails Unit 4 South. The active 16784 W Magnolia St in the same area asks $440,000. It is 192 sq ft smaller, has leased solar, and has been listed 72 days.
Older sales closed higher
The tax-record set averages $189.00 per sq ft ($184.45 net), which is $27.09 above the last 6 months, so recent closings are coming in lower.
Putting the gap in context
The $/sq ft gap overstates it: the sold homes average 5.6% more square footage (2,380 vs 2,255), and larger homes sell for less per sq ft. The price-to-price gap of 17.8% is the fairer figure. 6 of 8 sold comps included a seller concession, from $5,000 to $20,085 (1.2% to 4.9% of price). Net price is the cleaner measure of what a home is worth.
Property 3 · price per square foot
Every comp on one scale
Filled dots are the sold or asking price. Hollow rings are the net after seller concessions. The diamond in each group header is that group's average.
Active listings
These are the homes competing for buyers today. They show what sellers are asking, not what buyers have paid.
Four listings from $439,900 to $484,500. The newest, 80 S 167th Dr, listed Oct 12, 2026 at $439,900 and has not been reduced. The other three have all been cut.
4 comps · $453,600 avg price · $201.25 avg $/sq ft
80 S 167th Dr
Canyon Trails Unit 3 Parcel D · MLS 7092700
- Beds / baths
- 4 / 2
- Sq ft
- 2,141
- Asking $/sq ft
- $205.46
- Days listed
- 26
- Built
- 2008
- Lot
- 9,600 sq ft
- Pool
- No pool
- HOA
- $105/mo
Single story on the largest lot of the set (9,600 sq ft), with a 3-car garage and updated systems and appliances. Listed Oct 12, 2026 and not yet reduced.
16784 W Magnolia St
Canyon Trails Unit 4 South · MLS 7072340
- Beds / baths
- 5 / 4
- Sq ft
- 2,239
- Asking $/sq ft
- $196.52
- Days listed
- 72
- Built
- 2009
- Lot
- 6,900 sq ft
- Pool
- No pool
- HOA
- $125/mo
Single story, 5 bed and 4 bath, with leased solar the buyer would assume. Reduced $15,000 (3.3%) in 72 days.
16999 W Hilton Ave
Canyon Trails · MLS 7094169
- Beds / baths
- 5 / 3.5
- Sq ft
- 2,334
- Asking $/sq ft
- $192.80
- Days listed
- 23
- Built
- 2012
- Lot
- 7,377 sq ft
- Pool
- No pool
- HOA
- $125/mo
Newest of the Goodyear listings (2012), with a renovated kitchen, downstairs primary suite, bonus room and RV gate. Cut $30,000 in 23 days.
16450 W Lilac St
Curtis Commons · MLS 6913926
- Beds / baths
- 4 / 2.5
- Sq ft
- 2,305
- Asking $/sq ft
- $210.20
- Days listed
- 518
- Built
- 2010
- Lot
- 8,400 sq ft
- Pool
- No pool
- HOA
- $104/mo
Highest ask in the Goodyear sets, on the market 518 cumulative days with only a 3.0% reduction. A ceiling the market has not accepted, not a sold price.
Sold in the last 6 months
The most current evidence of what buyers are paying. Each sale is shown at the sold price and net of seller concessions.
Three sales from $148.09 to $171.38 per sq ft, all below the lowest listing.
3 comps · $385,000 avg price · $161.91 avg $/sq ft · $159.21 avg net
16718 W Yavapai St
Canyon Trails Unit 4 South · MLS 7077977
- Beds / baths
- 4 / 3
- Sq ft
- 2,431
- Sold $/sq ft
- $148.09
- Net $/sq ft
- $148.09
- Built
- 2007
- Lot
- 8,905 sq ft
- Pool
- No pool
- HOA
- $125/mo
Under contract the day after listing, with multiple offers, yet closed $15,000 (4.0%) below list. Same Canyon Trails Unit 4 South area as the active Magnolia St listing.
1859 S 169th Ave
Canyon Trails Unit 4 · MLS 7058131
- Beds / baths
- 4 / 2.5
- Sq ft
- 2,334
- Sold $/sq ft
- $171.38
- Net $/sq ft
- $166.67
- Built
- 2013
- Lot
- 6,900 sq ft
- Pool
- No pool
- HOA
- $125/mo
Same builder, subdivision and 2,334 sq ft as the active Hilton Ave listing. Sold at full list price with $11,000 in seller help on an FHA loan.
15811 W Cocopah St
Estrella Vista · MLS 7030262
- Beds / baths
- 4 / 2.5
- Sq ft
- 2,376
- Sold $/sq ft
- $166.25
- Net $/sq ft
- $162.88
- Built
- 2000
- Lot
- 8,287 sq ft
- Pool
- Community pool only
- HOA
- $69/mo
Oldest home in the recent Goodyear set (2000), with a 3-car garage and corner lot. New paint and carpet.
Tax record (Feb 2025 forward)
Older closings, kept in their own set so the tax file stays separate from the current market story.
Five closings from $174.95 to $201.65 per sq ft, averaging $189.00 and $184.45 after concessions.
5 comps · $421,800 avg price · $189.00 avg $/sq ft · $184.45 avg net
15756 W Shiloh Ave
Estrella Vista Parcel Four · MLS 6991281
- Beds / baths
- 4 / 2.5
- Sq ft
- 2,302
- Sold $/sq ft
- $191.14
- Net $/sq ft
- $187.88
- Built
- 1988
- Lot
- 7,480 sq ft
- Pool
- No pool
- HOA
- None
Oldest home in the Goodyear sets (1988), no HOA, with an RV gate and workshop. Closed May 6, 2026, one day before the 6-month window opens.
16056 W Grant St
Wildflower Ranch Unit 2 · MLS 6953219
- Beds / baths
- 4 / 2.5
- Sq ft
- 2,182
- Sold $/sq ft
- $201.65
- Net $/sq ft
- $193.40
- Built
- 1998
- Lot
- 7,700 sq ft
- Pool
- No pool
- HOA
- $19/mo
Fully remodeled in 2025 with a ground-floor primary. Closed $5,000 above its last list price, but with an $18,000 concession, so the net is below list.
16008 W Durango St
Sarival Village Parcel 2 · MLS 6926196
- Beds / baths
- 4 / 2.5
- Sq ft
- 2,232
- Sold $/sq ft
- $192.20
- Net $/sq ft
- $189.96
- Built
- 2004
- Lot
- 5,900 sq ft
- Pool
- No pool
- HOA
- $72/mo
Same Sarival Village area as the active Parcel 7 comp. Fresh paint and flooring, no pool. Sold December 2025.
2715 S 160th Ln
Sarival Village Parcel 7 · MLS 6908198
- Beds / baths
- 4 / 2
- Sq ft
- 2,212
- Sold $/sq ft
- $174.95
- Net $/sq ft
- $174.95
- Built
- 2006
- Lot
- 5,560 sq ft
- Pool
- No pool
- HOA
- $72/mo
Same street as 2847 S 160th Ln, with the same size (2,212 sq ft) and build year (2006). Listed at $399,000, cut to $385,000, then sold $2,000 above the final list price with no concessions.
16057 W Hilton Ave
Sarival Village Parcel 2 · MLS 6741590
- Beds / baths
- 4 / 2.5
- Sq ft
- 2,232
- Sold $/sq ft
- $185.04
- Net $/sq ft
- $176.04
- Built
- 2005
- Lot
- 5,750 sq ft
- Pool
- No pool
- HOA
- $69/mo
Sat 189 days before closing in March 2025, with the largest concession of the Goodyear sets (4.9%) and a leased solar system. It carries less weight than the other sales in this tier.
Property 3 · side by side
All 12 comps in one table
Bathrooms count each half bath as 0.5. The table scrolls sideways on a phone.
| Tier | Address | Price | Concession | Net price | Sq ft | $/sq ft | Net $/sq ft | Bd / ba | Built | Lot | Pool | HOA | Closed / listed | Days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 80 S 167th Dr | $439,900 | n/a | n/a | 2,141 | $205.46 | n/a | 4 / 2 | 2008 | 9,600 | No pool | $105/mo | 10/12/2026 | 26 |
| Active | 16784 W Magnolia St | $440,000 | n/a | n/a | 2,239 | $196.52 | n/a | 5 / 4 | 2009 | 6,900 | No pool | $125/mo | 8/27/2026 | 72 |
| Active | 16999 W Hilton Ave | $450,000 | n/a | n/a | 2,334 | $192.80 | n/a | 5 / 3.5 | 2012 | 7,377 | No pool | $125/mo | 10/15/2026 | 23 |
| Active | 16450 W Lilac St | $484,500 | n/a | n/a | 2,305 | $210.20 | n/a | 4 / 2.5 | 2010 | 8,400 | No pool | $104/mo | 9/2/2025 | 518 |
| Sold 6 mo | 16718 W Yavapai St | $360,000 | None | $360,000 | 2,431 | $148.09 | $148.09 | 4 / 3 | 2007 | 8,905 | No pool | $125/mo | 10/1/2026 | 1 |
| Sold 6 mo | 1859 S 169th Ave | $400,000 | $11,000 | $389,000 | 2,334 | $171.38 | $166.67 | 4 / 2.5 | 2013 | 6,900 | No pool | $125/mo | 8/31/2026 | 31 |
| Sold 6 mo | 15811 W Cocopah St | $395,000 | $8,000 | $387,000 | 2,376 | $166.25 | $162.88 | 4 / 2.5 | 2000 | 8,287 | Community pool only | $69/mo | 7/24/2026 | 17 |
| Tax record | 15756 W Shiloh Ave | $440,000 | $7,500 | $432,500 | 2,302 | $191.14 | $187.88 | 4 / 2.5 | 1988 | 7,480 | No pool | None | 5/6/2026 | 68 |
| Tax record | 16056 W Grant St | $440,000 | $18,000 | $422,000 | 2,182 | $201.65 | $193.40 | 4 / 2.5 | 1998 | 7,700 | No pool | $19/mo | 2/13/2026 | 66 |
| Tax record | 16008 W Durango St | $429,000 | $5,000 | $424,000 | 2,232 | $192.20 | $189.96 | 4 / 2.5 | 2004 | 5,900 | No pool | $72/mo | 12/22/2025 | 85 |
| Tax record | 2715 S 160th Ln | $387,000 | None | $387,000 | 2,212 | $174.95 | $174.95 | 4 / 2 | 2006 | 5,560 | No pool | $72/mo | 11/12/2025 | 65 |
| Tax record | 16057 W Hilton Ave | $412,999 | $20,085 | $392,914 | 2,232 | $185.04 | $176.04 | 4 / 2.5 | 2005 | 5,750 | No pool | $69/mo | 3/17/2025 | 189 |
Read with care
- 16784 W Magnolia St has leased solar the buyer would assume.
- 16057 W Hilton Ave sat 189 days with a 4.9% concession, so it carries less weight than the other tax-record sales.
- Active listings are asking prices. They show what sellers want, not what buyers have paid.
Tax and 1031
How the tax record is built
For each home, the third tier holds closed sales from February 2025 forward, up to the start of the 6-month window. It stays apart from the recent sales so the current market and the tax file never blur together.
- Tax record. Each home's third tier covers closed sales from February 2025 forward, shown at both sold price and net price.
- Concessions. Every sold comp is shown at its sold price and at its net price, so the effective value is visible.
- 1031 buyers. Three Goodyear listings (2775 S 161st Dr, 16999 W Hilton Ave and 16450 W Lilac St) list 1031 exchange as accepted financing. The other active listings do not mention it in the MLS record, which does not mean they would refuse an exchange buyer.
- What this is. A market opinion built from MLS data. It is not an appraisal. For a basis or exchange valuation tied to a specific date, the client's CPA or qualified intermediary may want a licensed appraisal.