Comparable Market Analysis · Prepared September 25, 2026

14210 W Greentree Dr S

Litchfield Park, AZ 85340 · Litchfield Greens (guard-gated)

The Property

List Price$775,000Reduced from $839,000
Living Area3,642 sq ft
Price / Sq Ft$212.80
Beds / Baths4 / 3
Lot Size15,031 sq ft0.345 acre
Year Built1998
Days on Market62
HOA$425 / qtrper listing – verify

Features: single-story · private pool · 3-car garage · attached in-law suite with private entrance · split primary suite · gated/guarded community. The listing describes the home as ready for a remodel, and no update years are listed for the roof, A/C, kitchen or baths.

Condition Notes

Observed during a showing. A home inspection is pending, and repair costs are unknown until inspection findings and contractor bids are in.

Item What we saw Why it matters
Possible foundation movement Cracking in the tile floor through the living room, continuing into other areas over roughly 15–20 feet The biggest unknown. Tile can crack for other reasons, so a structural evaluation is needed. It could affect price and financing.
Dated interior Older finishes throughout; listed as ready for a remodel Already reflected in our estimated range.
Bathrooms Usable, but dated, and the shower is outdated Buyers will likely want the bathrooms updated, including a new shower.
Stucco Areas needing repair Exterior maintenance to budget for.
Pavers Outdoor paver repair needed Exterior maintenance to budget for.
Pool Needs cleaning; possible equipment maintenance Have the pool equipment inspected.
Drywall and lighting One room needs drywall patching and new lighting Minor repair.

Pricing Summary

Current Asking Price
$775,000
Down $64,000 (7.6%) since listing
Similar Homes Sold For
$825K – $960K
Two closest closed sales – both in better condition
Estimated As-Is Market Range
$745K – $805K
Assumes the foundation is sound. Lower if a problem is confirmed
Suggested Opening Offer
$725,000
Ceiling $745,000 until inspection results
Suggested List Range
$765K – $795K
Best results with prep and staging
Avg Closed $ / Sq Ft
$305.64
Updated homes. Subject asks $212.80
Days on Market
62 days
Closed comps averaged 56 days
Quick take: Similar updated homes sold for $825,000–$960,000, but this one needs a remodel. We estimate its as-is value at $745,000–$805,000, so the $775,000 asking price sits in the middle of the range, not at a discount. On top of a dated interior, a walkthrough found floor cracking that may point to foundation movement, plus several repairs. Until an inspection says otherwise, we recommend opening at $725,000 and staying at or below $745,000.
Quick take: Similar updated homes sold for $825,000–$960,000, but this one needs a remodel. We estimate its as-is value at $745,000–$805,000. Recent nearby sales closed 3%–6% under their final list price, and this home has already sat 62 days at $775,000, so price it to the market, not to the top of the range.

Active Competition

These are homes buyers can choose from today. Asking prices show what sellers hope to get, not what homes are worth.

5 competing listings Average ask $884,350 Average $313.89 / sq ft On-market listings average 35 days
Coming SoonReference

4730 N Greenview Cir W

Litchfield Greens · 0.16 mi away

$625,000
Sq Ft1,897
$ / Sq Ft$329.47
Bd / Ba3 / 2
Lot6,240
Built1993
DOMNew (9/22)
PoolNo
Garage2-car
SettingGolf course

Compared with subject: Much smaller, half the lot, no pool. Golf-course views and about $150K of upgrades (seller-stated). Not yet on the market, so buyers haven't responded to the price.

Coming SoonReference

14011 W Litchfield Knl N

Litchfield Greens · 0.26 mi away

$949,900
Sq Ft2,900
$ / Sq Ft$327.55
Bd / Ba3 / 3
Lot16,164
Built2001
DOMNew (9/21)
PoolYes
Garage2.5 + cart
Stories1

Compared with subject: Custom one-story on about 1/3 acre with a pool and golf-cart garage. 742 sq ft smaller but in far better condition. Competes for the same pool-home buyers at a much higher price.

ActiveReference

14130 W Bent Tree Cir

Litchfield Greens · 0.30 mi away

$657,000 was $667,000
Sq Ft2,188
$ / Sq Ft$300.27
Bd / Ba3 / 2
Lot6,662
Built1998
DOM67
PoolNo
Garage2-car
Updates2026 remodel

Compared with subject: Same year built, but far smaller with no pool. A $175K remodel (seller-stated) was just finished. Still 67 days on market and already reduced $10K, so even fully remodeled homes are taking time.

ActiveReference

14023 W Litchfield Knl N

Litchfield Greens · 0.22 mi away

$1,190,000
Sq Ft3,127
$ / Sq Ft$380.56
Bd / Ba4 / 3
Lot14,906
Built2001
DOM22
PoolPool + spa
Garage3-car
Updates2026 roof/bath

Compared with subject: Closest active in size and lot. This same home sold for $960,000 in April and is now asking $1,190,000 after 2026 updates. That is an asking price, not a sale, and it is unproven until it closes.

ActiveReference

14564 W Lajolla Dr

Village at Litchfield Park · 0.35 mi away

$999,850
Sq Ft4,317
$ / Sq Ft$231.61
Bd / Ba5 / 4
Lot14,400
Built2014
DOM16
PoolDiving pool
Garage3-car
Stories2

Compared with subject: Larger, newer (2014) former model home in a different neighborhood. Its price per sq ft is closest to the subject's, but it is a different tier of home.

Recent Closed Sales

Closed sales show what buyers actually paid, so they carry the most weight in our estimate. None of these homes matches the subject's condition, and each was in better shape.

3 closed comps Median sold $960,000 Average $305.64 / sq ft Average sold at 96.6% of final list Average 56 days on market
Closed 4/13/2026Strongest comp

14023 W Litchfield Knl N

Litchfield Greens · 0.22 mi away

$960,000 list $999,000
Sq Ft3,127
$ / Sq Ft$307.00
Bd / Ba4 / 3
Lot14,906
Built2001
DOM50
PoolPool + spa
Garage3-car
ConcessionsNone

Compared with subject: Best match for lot size, pool, 3-car garage and one-story layout. It is 515 sq ft smaller (about 14%) but in better condition, with stonework, mature landscaping, a putting green and a spa. Sold for cash at 96.1% of list. Closed over five months ago, so it gets slightly less weight.

Closed 7/10/2026Supporting comp

4746 N Greenview Cir W

Litchfield Greens · 0.16 mi away

$825,000 orig. list $850,000
Sq Ft2,610
$ / Sq Ft$316.09
Bd / Ba4 / 3
Lot7,586
Built1993
DOM109
PoolPool + spa
Garage2-car
Concessions3% to buyer

Compared with subject: Fully remodeled (floors 2023, kitchen 2024, baths 2025) with golf-course and lake views. But it is about 28% smaller with half the lot and a 2-car garage. It took 109 days and a 3% concession, so the net price was about $800,250 ($306.61 / sq ft).

Closed 7/14/2026Reference only

14542 W Mountain View Dr

Village at Litchfield Park · 0.33 mi away

$1,195,000 list $1,275,000
Sq Ft4,067
$ / Sq Ft$293.83
Bd / Ba4 / 5
Lot18,597
Built2016
DOM9
PoolPool + spa
Garage4-car
ConcessionsNone

Compared with subject: Newer, 425 sq ft larger, on a bigger corner lot in a different neighborhood. It shows how high the top of the local market goes, but it is not a like-for-like match. Sold for cash at 93.7% of list.

Also reviewed: 4 other nearby closed sales set aside (not comparable)

These homes closed recently nearby but differ too much from the subject in size, lot or setting, so they are not used in the value estimate. They are shown here for transparency.

Property Sold Price Beds / Baths Sq Ft $ / Sq Ft Why set aside
14125 W Greenview Cir N $405,000 3 / 2 1,409 $287.44 Much smaller home
14132 W Bent Tree Cir S $582,500 3 / 2 1,800 $323.61 Much smaller home
4833 N Barranco Dr $1,100,000 5 / 5 6,114 $179.91 Much larger; different neighborhood
14123 W Greentree Dr S $1,300,000 4 / 5 3,656 $355.58 Lot / setting differs from subject

Side-by-Side Comparison

Property Status Price Sq Ft $ / Sq Ft Beds / Baths Lot Built DOM
14210 W Greentree Dr S (Subject) Active $775,000 3,642 $212.80 4 / 3 15,031 1998 62
14023 W Litchfield Knl N Closed 4/13 $960,000 3,127 $307.00 4 / 3 14,906 2001 50
4746 N Greenview Cir W Closed 7/10 $825,000 2,610 $316.09 4 / 3 7,586 1993 109
14542 W Mountain View Dr Closed 7/14 $1,195,000 4,067 $293.83 4 / 5 18,597 2016 9
14130 W Bent Tree Cir Active $657,000 2,188 $300.27 3 / 2 6,662 1998 67
14023 W Litchfield Knl N Active $1,190,000 3,127 $380.56 4 / 3 14,906 2001 22
14564 W Lajolla Dr Active $999,850 4,317 $231.61 5 / 4 14,400 2014 16
14011 W Litchfield Knl N Coming Soon $949,900 2,900 $327.55 3 / 3 16,164 2001 New
4730 N Greenview Cir W Coming Soon $625,000 1,897 $329.47 3 / 2 6,240 1993 New
Price per square foot
Closed sales and asking prices of updated homes sit near $300+ per sq ft. The subject asks far less because it needs work.
Subject (asking)
$212.80
Sold: 4746 N Greenview Cir W
$316.09
Sold: 14023 W Litchfield Knl N
$307.00
Sold: 14542 W Mountain View Dr
$293.83
Asking: 14023 W Litchfield Knl N
$380.56
Asking: 4730 N Greenview Cir W
$329.47
Asking: 14011 W Litchfield Knl N
$327.55
Asking: 14130 W Bent Tree Cir
$300.27
Asking: 14564 W Lajolla Dr
$231.61
SubjectClosed saleCurrent asking price

Pricing Analysis

$745,000 – $805,000Estimated as-is market range

What similar homes sold for. Three comparable homes closed this year at $825,000, $960,000 and $1,195,000. All three were in better condition than this one: one fully remodeled, one custom-built with a landscaped resort-style yard, and one newer and much larger. The closest match for lot, pool and garage sold for $960,000 in April, but it is smaller and was in better shape.

Why we don't just multiply by square feet. Multiplying the $305.64 average by 3,642 sq ft gives about $1.11 million, but that assumes a fully updated home. It shows the potential after a remodel, not today's value. Two nearby sellers advertised $150,000–$175,000 of work on homes about half this size (seller-stated, not verified), so the remodel gap is large.

What the market is telling us. This home has been listed 62 days and already cut $64,000. The three closed sales sold 3%–6% under their final list price once concessions are counted. Applying that to today's $775,000 ask points to a likely closing zone of about $726,000–$752,000. The top of our range, about $805,000, is supported by the remodeled comp's net price of about $800,000 and by this home's extra space, lot and in-law suite.

Condition and the foundation question. The comparable sales were in better shape and none had a known structural concern, so nothing in them prices that risk. The range above assumes the foundation is sound. If an inspection or engineer confirms movement, the fair price drops by the documented repair cost plus an allowance for the risk and a smaller pool of buyers, since some lenders question structural issues. The smaller repairs (stucco, pavers, pool, bathroom updates, drywall) push us toward the lower half of the range.

Limits of this analysis. Only three closed sales fit well, and none matches the subject's condition. No pending sales were provided. Condition is based on listing remarks, not an inspection, and no update years are listed for the roof, A/C, kitchen or baths. An inspection and repair estimate could move these numbers.

Offer Strategy

A lower offer saves money but is less likely to be accepted as written. We can't know what this seller will accept, so treat these as starting points.

Aggressive Offer
$725,000
6.5% below asking

Our recommended opening, given the visible condition issues, 62 days on market and one price reduction. Expect a counteroffer.

Competitive Offer
$745,000
3.9% below asking

Our ceiling until inspection results are in. It is the bottom of our range for a sound home and in line with 3%–6% under-list closings nearby.

Strong Offer
$765,000
1.3% below asking

Most likely to be accepted quickly, but only makes sense if the inspection clears the foundation. Otherwise it is above what we would pay for the home as it stands.

If the inspection confirms a foundation problem: adjusted offer = the offer above minus the documented repair cost (engineer's report and contractor bids) minus an allowance for risk. Ask the seller for a price reduction or repair credit, using the bids as support.
  • Get a structural engineer. A general home inspector will usually flag cracking and refer it out. Book the engineer evaluation inside the inspection period.
  • Price isn't the only lever. The 4746 N Greenview sale included a 3% seller credit. Closing-cost help, a flexible close date, or a shorter inspection period can be worth as much as price.
  • Ask for repair and update records. No roof, A/C, kitchen or bath update years are listed. Pool equipment and mechanical systems should be inspected before you commit.
  • Verify HOA dues. This listing shows $425 per quarter, while nearby Litchfield Greens listings show $565 per quarter.
  • Budget the remodel. Your all-in cost is the purchase price plus the work you plan to do.

Listing Strategy

Every closed comp sold 3%–6% under its final list price, and this home has already sat 62 days at $775,000. Price to the evidence.

Aggressive Market Price
$749,000
Low end of estimated range

Should draw the most showings and the fastest offers. Leaves less room for negotiation.

Recommended List Range
$765K – $795K
Middle of estimated range

Supportable by the closed sales when the home is staged, cleaned up and pre-inspected.

Stretch Price
$805,000
Top of estimated range

Only realistic with visible updates. Expect a longer time on market and a possible reduction.

Key Observations

  • Condition drives the gap. Every closed comp was in better shape than the subject, which is why its asking price per sq ft is about 30% below the closed average.
  • Buyers negotiated. Closed sales netted 94%–97% of their final list price after concessions, including the home that sold in just 9 days.
  • Bigger homes trade at lower $ / sq ft. Closed sales ran from $316 at 2,610 sq ft down to $294 at 4,067 sq ft.
  • Remodeled doesn't mean quick. The freshly remodeled home on Bent Tree has sat 67 days and already dropped its price.
  • Condition is the swing factor. The floor cracking is the one item that could move the price meaningfully. The remaining repairs are ordinary deferred maintenance.
  • One asking price to watch. 14023 W Litchfield Knl N sold for $960,000 in April and is now asking $1,190,000. If it closes near that, it would support the top of the market. Until then it is only an ask.

Our Take

Estimated As-Is Market Range$745,000 – $805,000If the foundation is sound
Suggested Initial Offer$725,0006.5% below asking
Reasonable Negotiation Ceiling$745,000Until inspection results. If a foundation problem is confirmed, subtract the repair bids.
Suggested List Price$779,000Within $765K–$795K, with prep and staging
Price Floor to Consider$745,000Low end of the estimated range
Primary Supporting Comps14023 W Litchfield Knl NClosed at $960,000 (April 2026)
4746 N Greenview Cir W – Closed at $825,000 (about $800,250 net)

James Burbank · eXp Realty · 16165 N 83rd Ave, Ste 200, Peoria, AZ 85382 · License #SA681164000

About the data: Property facts, prices, dates and days on market come from ARMLS as of 9/25/2026. Price per square foot, averages and percentages are calculated from that data. Renovation costs are seller-stated in listing remarks and not verified. The value range and offer or list levels are our professional estimates based on the comparable sales above.

This Comparable Market Analysis is not an appraisal and is not intended to meet the requirements of the Uniform Standards of Professional Appraisal Practice. If an appraisal is desired, the services of a licensed appraiser should be obtained. All information should be verified by the recipient and none is guaranteed as accurate by ARMLS.