ARMLS · Two listings · 19 Sep 2026

Where your two Buckeye parcels sit in today’s market

Every comparable land listing and every closed land sale in Buckeye at each parcel’s size, pulled from the MLS record by record. The two parcels are in very different positions, and they call for different responses.

12163 W Valentine Ave #25
MLS 6934696 · 4.68 ac · GC · $4,199,000
Price not aligned with the market
Four confirmed General Commercial pads in 85396 ask a median of $516,924/acre. This parcel is priced at $897,222. One of those comps sits in Sweetwater Estates at 42% less per acre.
Per acre $897,222 Days on market 338 Indicated $2.04–2.85M
13XX N 315th Ave N
MLS 6925831 · 15.37 ac · R-43 · $799,000
Priced in range · market is frozen
This parcel ranks 5th of 9 active listings by price per acre — the middle of the market. But zero parcels between 10 and 20 acres have closed in Buckeye in six months. That points to the size of the buyer pool rather than to the asking price.
Per acre $51,984 Days on market 357 Expires 26 Sep 2026

One thing to deal with this week

13XX N 315th Ave expires on 26 September — seven days out, after 357 days on market. Renew, reprice or release is the decision in front of us this week, and the data below is what it should be based on.

01

Valentine Ave — what comparable commercial land is priced at

Every parcel here has confirmed General Commercial zoning, pulled record by record. Green is what a buyer actually paid.

26912 E Lower Buckeye Rd · 7.13 ac · SOLD$122,721
14 N Palo Verde Rd · 3.98 ac · active$435,382
29215 W Van Buren St · 4.70 ac · active$510,638
00 SW Sun Valley Pkwy #29 · 4.05 ac · same subdivision$523,209
0 S Van Buren St · 3.50 ac · active$609,000
12163 W Valentine Ave #25 · 4.68 ac · THIS PROPERTY$897,222
$0$475,000$950,000 per acre
Closed — what was paid Active GC listing — what is asked Your listing
List price
$897,222
per acre
GC-verified median
$516,924
4 confirmed GC pads in 85396
Above it by
+74%
and above every single one
Only GC land that sold
$122,721
per acre · 1 sale in 6 months
Address Zoning Acres List price $/acre vs you Days on mkt MLS
12163 W Valentine Ave #25 GC 4.68 $4,199,000 $897,222 338 6934696
0 S Van Buren St GC 3.50 $2,131,500 $609,000 32% less 443 6888347
00 SW Sun Valley Pkwy #29 Sweetwater GC 4.05 $2,118,996 $523,209 42% less 716 6766179
29215 W Van Buren St GC 4.70 $2,400,000 $510,638 43% less 366 6921794
14 N Palo Verde Rd GC 3.98 $1,732,820 $435,382 51% less 51 7060425
502 N Palo Verde Rd #8 Sweetwater RU-43, RC 4.63 $2,017,620 $435,771 51% less 715 6766759
0 N Palo Verde Rd #13 RU-43 4.58 $1,500,000 $327,511 64% less 59 7057298
29549 W Van Buren St not verified 4.70 $1,500,000 $319,149 64% less
Indicated range from the GC actives: $2.04M – $2.85M, centred near $2.42M. Days on market are cumulative ARMLS days as of 19 Sep 2026.

How long the sales that did close actually took

All ten Buckeye land sales between 2.5 and 10 acres that closed in the last six months, list date to close date. This is how long a sale takes in this market when the price is where buyers are.

Median list to close
139
days · the 10 closed sales
Fastest / slowest
21 / 353
days
This listing, to date
338
days on market, unsold
Active GC comps
404
median days, still sitting
Address List price Sold price Listed Closed Days MLS
30501 W Yuma Rd #Z $450,000 $453,000 03 Apr 2026 24 Apr 2026 21 7008977
0 W Hazen Rd $540,000 $520,000 11 Jul 2026 14 Aug 2026 34 7053691
0 S Dean Rd $738,000 $725,000 07 May 2026 25 Jun 2026 49 7024779
20701 LN S Arlington Rd $899,000 $445,000 10 Apr 2026 04 Jun 2026 55 7011926
26912 E Lower Buckeye Rd · GC $1,068,750 $875,000 12 Dec 2025 29 Apr 2026 138 6961956
Lots on 319th Ave #Q $320,000 $320,000 10 Feb 2026 30 Jun 2026 140 6982355
31402 W Turney Ave #113 $50,000 $43,000 01 Nov 2025 27 Mar 2026 146 6941697
29201 W Tonopah Salome Hwy #30 $469,000 $460,000 11 Dec 2025 10 Jul 2026 211 6956974
319XX W Glenrosa Ave · Parcel 1 $79,900 $320,000 13 Oct 2025 07 Aug 2026 298 6933134
0 S 188th Ave $155,000 $117,500 13 May 2025 01 May 2026 353 6865580
Days = calendar days from list date to close of escrow, read record by record from ARMLS. 319XX W Glenrosa shows a $79,900 original list against a $320,000 sale — almost certainly a parcel-count or entry correction in the MLS record, so treat that one row as unreliable on price while the dates still hold.

What the timing data shows

Half the parcels that sold were gone inside 139 days. This listing has been on for 338 days without a price change. The commercial comps that are still unsold have been on a median of 404 days, two of them for more than 715. Holding the price has not produced a sale for any of them.

02

315th Ave — priced mid-market, in a segment that has stopped trading

All nine active land listings in Buckeye between 10 and 20 acres. Two priced like commercial frontage are held out of the scale below.

0 S 170th Ave · 10.00 ac$12,000
319000 W Devonshire Blvd · 16.04 ac$19,950
22845 S 187th Ave · 10.00 ac$32,500
0 W Woods Rd · 15.90 ac$47,170
13XX N 315th Ave N · 15.37 ac · THIS PROPERTY$51,984
312XX W Baseline Rd #6 · 16.22 ac$92,478
2615 S 307th Ave · 18.26 ac$117,744
$0$65,000$130,000 per acre

Off this scale: 29500 W Baseline Rd #82 at $274,574/acre and 0 S Miller Rd at $871,370/acre. Both are priced like commercial frontage rather than rural acreage, which is why they sit outside the chart.

List price
$51,984
per acre · 5th of 9 actives
Median of the other 8
$69,824
26% above this listing
Median days on market
435
the other 8 actives
Closed, 10–20 ac, 6 months
ZERO
nothing traded at any price
Rank Address Acres List price $/acre vs you Days on mkt MLS
1 0 S 170th Ave 10.00 $120,000 $12,000 77% less 854 * 6944981
2 319000 W Devonshire Blvd 16.04 $320,000 $19,950 62% less 45 7063128
3 22845 S 187th Ave 10.00 $325,000 $32,500 37% less 127 7029288
4 0 W Woods Rd 15.90 $750,000 $47,170 9% less 544 6840383
5 13XX N 315th Ave N · THIS PROPERTY 15.37 $799,000 $51,984 357 6925831
6 312XX W Baseline Rd #6 16.22 $1,500,000 $92,478 78% more 326 6939709
7 2615 S 307th Ave 18.26 $2,150,000 $117,744 126% more 152 7016801
8 29500 W Baseline Rd #82 18.21 $5,000,000 $274,574 428% more 1,096 6607087
9 0 S Miller Rd 17.42 $15,179,260 $871,370 1,576% more 1,027 6634388
ARMLS · Buckeye · Land · Active + Coming Soon · 10.00–19.99 acres · all 9 results. Days on market are cumulative ARMLS days as of 19 Sep 2026; * 0 S 170th Ave shows 854 cumulative days against an 08 Nov 2025 list date, meaning it has been relisted and the clock carries over. Zoning has not been verified on these comps — on the Valentine analysis that check changed which comps counted, so treat this ranking as provisional.

The finding that matters more than the ranking

Not one parcel between 10 and 20 acres closed in Buckeye in the last six months. The cross-check makes the gap plain: four sales closed between 24 and 320 acres, ten closed between 3.2 and 9.3 acres, fifty-one closed under 3.2 acres — and nothing at all between 9.3 and 24 acres.

The marketing clock says the same thing from the other side. The eight other actives in this size band have been listed a median of 435 days — 29500 W Baseline Rd for 1,096 and 0 S Miller Rd for 1,027, both approaching three years. At 357 days this listing is not the outlier; the whole size band is sitting.

Small parcels trade. Bulk land trades. The middle does not. A price reduction cannot create a buyer who is not shopping this size, which is why the response here is different from the one on Valentine.

03

The underlying data

One workbook per parcel, with a summary tab, the active comps and the closed sales, and zoning where it has been verified.

Source: ARMLS via flexmls, pulled 19 Sep 2026 · Valentine set: Buckeye · Land · 2.50–9.99 acres (57 active, 65 closed) · 315th set: Buckeye · Land · 10.00–19.99 acres (9 active, 0 closed in 6 months)
Zoning was confirmed parcel by parcel on the Valentine comps; it has not yet been confirmed on the 315th Ave comps. Days on market are the cumulative MLS figure as of 19 Sep 2026 and carry across any relisting.
Prepared by James Burbank, eXp Realty · AZ Lic. SA681164000 · 623-398-9095 · james@soldbyburbank.com
A comparative market analysis, not an appraisal. Information from ARMLS is believed reliable but is not guaranteed.